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Market Cycle
Current phase
Expansion
Module agreement
81%
Methodology GREY-RABBIT-MARKET-CYCLE-1.0 · Updated 10/12/2026, 12:45:21 AM
Market psychology curve
Current phase
Expansion
Module agreement 81%
Expansion
Broad institutional participation with orderly psychology.
Mapped from Institutional Bull — constructive technicals/futures with psychology below speculation extremes.
Evidence
Adaptive synthesis for S&P 500 — only modules with verified data are shown.
Overall score 60 sits in the Institutional Bull range. Baseline stage from overall score 60 Technical · trend is the strongest supportive driver. Attention · google trends is the main restraint.
Physical Markets does not apply to S&P 500.
Module contributions
Labels reflect verified module readings. Unavailable modules are hidden — not filled with neutral placeholders.
Trend Analysis
Technical Intelligence 84/100 (Bullish) from Trend, Momentum.
Strong
Score 84 · delayed
Module agreement (81%) reflects module completeness, freshness, and cross-module agreement — not a calibrated probability.
Phase characteristics
Mapped from Institutional Bull — constructive technicals/futures with psychology below speculation extremes.
Related research
Gold is currently in Institutional Bull. The most likely advancing path is toward Momentum if technical remains constructive and psychology would need to improve. The likely deteriorating path is toward Early Bull if a technical breakdown would support deterioration.
Technical · trend
Technical score 84
Technical · momentum
Trend 97
Technical · technical
Momentum 54
Macro · macro environment
Liquidity / M2 trend: positive
Macro · fred
Employment trend proxy: neutral
Attention · google trends
Search score 31
Attention · GREY RABBIT GOOGLE TRENDS 1.0
Momentum adj 1.2
No transitions recorded yet.