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Market Cycle
Current phase
Recognition
Module agreement
83%
Methodology GREY-RABBIT-MARKET-CYCLE-1.0 · Updated 10/12/2026, 12:45:20 AM
Market psychology curve
Current phase
Recognition
Module agreement 83%
Recognition
Constructive trend emerges; informed participation begins to broaden.
Mapped from the engine Early Bull stage when trend and supporting modules turn constructive.
Evidence
Adaptive synthesis for Oil — only modules with verified data are shown.
Overall score 45 sits in the Early Bull range. Baseline stage from overall score 45 Macro · macro environment is the strongest supportive driver. Attention · google trends is the main restraint.
Physical Markets does not apply to Oil.
Module contributions
Labels reflect verified module readings. Unavailable modules are hidden — not filled with neutral placeholders.
Trend Analysis
Technical Intelligence 40/100 (Bearish) from Trend, Momentum.
Soft
Score 40 · delayed
Module agreement (83%) reflects module completeness, freshness, and cross-module agreement — not a calibrated probability.
Phase characteristics
Mapped from the engine Early Bull stage when trend and supporting modules turn constructive.
Related research
Gold is currently in Early Bull. The most likely advancing path is toward Institutional Bull if technical would need to strengthen and psychology would need to improve. The likely deteriorating path is toward Accumulation if technical weakness is already a deterioration risk.
Macro · macro environment
Liquidity / M2 trend: positive
Macro · fred
Employment trend proxy: neutral
Macro · MACRO PACK 1.1
Nominal rate direction: positive
Attention · google trends
Search score 32
Attention · GREY RABBIT GOOGLE TRENDS 1.0
Momentum adj -0.3
Technical · trend
Technical score 40
Technical · momentum
Trend 31
Technical · technical
Momentum 60
No transitions recorded yet.