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Market Cycle
Current phase
Expansion
Module agreement
85%
Methodology GREY-RABBIT-MARKET-CYCLE-1.0 · Updated 10/12/2026, 12:45:02 AM
Market psychology curve
Current phase
Expansion
Module agreement 85%
Expansion
Broad institutional participation with orderly psychology.
Mapped from Institutional Bull — constructive technicals/futures with psychology below speculation extremes.
Evidence
Adaptive synthesis for Copper — only modules with verified data are shown.
Overall score 56 sits in the Institutional Bull range. Baseline stage from overall score 56 Technical · trend is the strongest supportive driver. Futures · positioning is the main restraint.
Physical Markets does not apply to Copper.
Module contributions
Labels reflect verified module readings. Unavailable modules are hidden — not filled with neutral placeholders.
Trend Analysis
Technical Intelligence 63/100 (Neutral) from Trend, Momentum.
Constructive
Score 63 · delayed
COT Positioning
Positioning bearish lean (42/100). Crowding: low. MM: long bias.
Neutral
Score 42 · live
Macro
Macro environment mixed for copper (62/100).
Constructive
Score 62 · delayed
Module agreement (85%) reflects module completeness, freshness, and cross-module agreement — not a calibrated probability.
Phase characteristics
Mapped from Institutional Bull — constructive technicals/futures with psychology below speculation extremes.
Related research
Gold is currently in Institutional Bull. The most likely advancing path is toward Momentum if technical remains constructive and psychology would need to improve. The likely deteriorating path is toward Early Bull if a technical breakdown would support deterioration and weak futures positioning raises downside risk.
Technical · trend
Technical score 63
Technical · momentum
Trend 79
Technical · technical
Momentum 26
Macro · macro environment
Liquidity / M2 trend: positive
Macro · fred
Employment trend proxy: neutral
Futures · positioning
Positioning score 42
Futures · cftc
CFTC / Open Interest / OI Ratio via Positioning Intelligence
Futures · open interest
Positioning bearish lean (42/100). Crowding: low. MM: long bias.
No transitions recorded yet.